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New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers Game 4 odds, picks and predictions

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The New York Knicks face the Indiana Pacers Sunday in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference semifinals. Tip-off from Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Knicks vs. Pacers odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Series: Knicks lead 2-1; Pacers won regular-season series 2-1

Many expected Game 3 on Friday was going to be a Pacers blowout. The Knicks were without F OG Anunoby, G Jalen Brunson was banged up, the Pacers were at home with a friendlier whistle. And yet New York led in the 4th quarter and it was a 1-possession game with 10 seconds remaining.

Knicks G Donte DiVincenzo scored 35 points, shooting 7-for-11 from 3, but it was Pacer’s G Andrew Nembhard who made a clutch shot from well beyond the arc to take the late lead in the 111-106 victory.

Knicks at Pacers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:57 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Knicks +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Pacers -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Knicks +5.5 (-110) | Pacers -5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Knicks at Pacers key injuries

Knicks

  • G OG Anunoby (hamstring) out
  • F Bojan Bogdanovic (foot) out
  • F Julius Randle (shoulder) out
  • C Mitchell Robinson (ankle) out

Pacers

  • G Tyrese Haliburton (back) questionable
  • F Aaron Nesmith (shoulder) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Knicks at Pacers picks and predictions

Prediction

Knicks 112, Pacers 105

Moneyline

The Pacers are doing everything they can to contain Brunson, but after Game 3 it appears that New York has the roster to take advantage of the new opportunities.

On top of that, New York’s bench proved to be quite helpful, while every player on Indiana’s bench had a negative +/- on Friday. Yes the Pacers won the game, but everything was clicking defensively and yet they just barely managed to pull off a win.

I like the value of the Knicks at plus money, especially with Brunson off the injury report.

LEAN KNICKS (+185).

Against the spread

The Knicks have lost by more than 5 points just 3 times in their last 15 games. Compare that to a Pacers team favored in 5 of their 6 games against the Milwaukee Bucks that failed to cover in 3 of them. That included 2 upset losses by double digits.

Even if the Pacers win game 4, I see another close matchup. If you like the Knicks to win, but feel you need a little insurance, then BET KNICKS +5.5 (-110). Otherwise, stick to the moneyline.

Over/Under

After 3 games Indiana finally has a plan to slow Brunson, which is to have G T.J. McConnell or F Aaron Nesmith cover him to keep the Knicks offense from humming. On top of that, don’t expect New York to shoot 51% from beyond the arc again.

But keeping Brunson to 10-of-26 shooting wore out his defenders. Nesmith and McConnell combined for just 16 points on 6-of-16 shooting. This is still playoff basketball where 100 points per team is not guaranteed.

LEAN UNDER 217.5 (-110).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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