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Atlanta Hawks at San Antonio Spurs odds, picks and predictions

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The Atlanta Hawks (35-35) battle the San Antonio Spurs (18-52) Sunday with tip from AT&T Center set for 4 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Hawks vs. Spurs odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Hawks beat the Spurs at home 125-106 on Feb. 11 in their 1st meeting this season. Atlanta covered as a 13-point favorite and the Under 241.5 hit.

Atlanta beat Golden State 127-119 Friday, covering as a 3.5-point favorite while the Under 248 hit. The Hawks are 31-39 against the spread (ATS) this season. They are just 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games and 6-4 O/U.

San Antonio lost to Memphis 126-120 Friday, covering as an 8.5-point home underdog. It is 3-4 ATS in its last 7 games and 2-5 straight up in that span. The Spurs are 29-41 ATS on the season.

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Hawks at Spurs odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:31 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Hawks -380 (bet $380 to win $100) | Spurs +310 (bet $100 to win $310)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Hawks -8.5 (-118) | Spurs +8.5 (-102)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 244.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Hawks at Spurs key injuries

Hawks

  • G Trae Young (knee) questionable

Spurs

  • F Doug McDermott (hip) questionable
  • F Jeremy Sochan (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Hawks at Spurs picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 130, Spurs 122

Moneyline

AVOID.

Betting on the road favorite at -380 doesn’t make much sense, but the Spurs are in tank mode as well. Both sides here are unplayable.

Against the spread

LEAN SPURS +8.5 (-102).

This is not a position the Hawks have performed well in. They are just 4-8 ATS as a road favorite. While San Antonio isn’t a top-performing side at home, it is 18-17 ATS, so it does cover more than it doesn’t at the AT&T Center.

The Spurs are also 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games and 5-4 in the last 9. They have slightly outperformed expectations lately. With that in mind, take the SPURS +8.5 (-102) for a small unit.

Over/Under

BET OVER 244.5 (-115).

These teams play at an ultra-fast pace and are both near full strength, so the offensive firepower should be on display. The Spurs rank 4th in pace, and the Hawks sit 8th.

The Spurs have gone Over in 6 of their last 7. Their defense ranks last in opponents’ points per game (122.1), opponents’ field goal percentage (50.5%) and opponents’ 3-point field goal percentage (39.3%). They just do not defend at a high level.

The Hawks have gone Over in 4 of their last 6 and have scored at least 125 in 2 of their last 3. Atlanta ranks 5th in points per game (117.4) as well and sits 23rd in opponents’ points per game (117.5).

Neither team defends and both like to score. Back the OVER 244.5 (-115) despite the sky-high total.

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